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Just yesterday I commented on the ban to ChatGPT imposed in Italy by the Authority under the banner of preserving privacy and fighting potential misinformation.
As follow up I read a number of articles and commentaries on various international magazines, that have my trust, and one message emerged:
It is not AI that will end up stealing your job,
it will be stolen by people that have learnt to use AI to become more productive
Goldman Sachs foresees up to 300 million jobs to be affected by AI worldwide (that is 18% of jobs). The new capabilities offered by Generative AI will particularly affect white collars job, but “affect” does not mean “kill”.
Sure, a percentage of those affected jobs will lead to job losses but the majority will be changed by AI, not killed. And those that will be killed could be offset by new jobs opportunities. Let’s be clear and not fool ourselves. The new jobs opportunities may not be fit for those losing their job. New skills and competences will be needed. Continuous education is the keyword for the future.
The Goldman Sachs report foresees a growth of 7% of the world GDP as follow up of the widespread adoption of AI, meaning some 7 trillion $ over the next 10 years.
I have spent part of my working life acting as ghost writer for several of my big bosses (and enjoyed it), both writing articles , speeches and preparing presentation. That involved a bit of creativity, a good deal of searching data and information and then putting it all together. Today, with the tools that have became available, I would be much more efficient and do a better job. I am pretty sure these tools will not have me fired, the bosses will still ask me to prepare their stuff.
A nice article is just out on MIT Technology Review discussing how ChatGPT can revolutionise the economy. This is not necessarily a sure things in fostering economic development BUT, as stated in the article, this is not a ChatGPT responsibility, it is OUR responsibility to use it in ways that foster economic progress. Putting our head under the sand or blocking the evolution is surely not going to help.
For sure, steering the evolution and application of technology in a way that is fair to all is challenging. The past decades have shown that the benefits of technology are unevenly distributed, with some rich becoming super-rich with a good portion of the people lagging behind. However, it is also fair to say that the average well being in the world has steadily increased (measured in terms of decrease of extreme poverty, hunger, child labour, child mortality, increased leisure time, life expectancy …). Even some sociometric measures of increased “happiness” based on language analyses (like use of specific words in social media…) are showing a steady improvements (with a decline through the pandemic).
What nonsense. There will be one ‘leverager’ for every 10 jobs eliminated. If I (or eventually a machine) can tell machines to analyze, design, manufacture, assemble, package, transport, use and dispose, and report at every step of the way, (eventually back to ‘management’ machines) how much is left for humans?
Walter,
you might be right, even though I have not seen anything close to the figure you are giving. History suggests that any new disruptive technology, and AI looks to be one of those, are creating havoc in the work / jobs landscape in the short term but on the medium longer term the increase in GDP (productivity) generates more jobs opportunities that make up, and more, for the jobs being killed. However, my main point is that we need to become aware of AI and its impact, rather than trying to stop it.
What is true nonsense is this blind & blinding faith towards workism and jobs in the first place. The fact that loss of jobs is painted as a negative, is and always will be, ridiculous a concept.
The time of servitude for the artificial scarcity of privilege, and all the suffering and exploitation that comes with it, should be over. No one should tout more “employment” as a positive thing ever again. Force it into obsolescence.
artificial scarcity of the “privilege” to survive(eat, be sheltered, etc)*
I agree.
Maybe the movie/report I just finished watching has nothing (or not much) to do with AI “job destruction”, but when the same people who programmed or organized social media are working on AI (without very strict ethical rules), we need to be seriously afraid!!!!
I suggest to take a look at:
“Our Social Dilemma” on Netflix….
You will be surprised what is going on, if it is as it is told (among the audience in the movie also the great Steve Wozniak)
It’s ChatGPT, not ChatGTP as you’ve put throughout the article. It’s short for ‘generative pre-trained transformer.’
Thanks. I swapped it. In the other posts is is written ok
I think you’ll find this video interesting, which covers our soon-to-be transfer to Central Bank Digital Currencies, and how that ties into the direction ChatGPT and other AI-based technologies will impact society. https://youtu.be/-EbLWR1PM1Q