Computer Society Technology Predictions 2023

Roberto Saracco January 21, 2023 Blog 181 Views

A team of 36 experts in various areas came together (in the cyberspace) to look at the crystal ball for a glimpse on technology evolution. Image credit: Computer Society

In what has become a “tradition” the Computer Society has released this year Technology Predictions created by a team of experts coming from different fields and from different geographical areas providing a worldwide perspective. The tough task of herding these cats was taken, as it has become a tradition as well, by Dejan Milojicic, HP.

The team of experts has expanded over the years, last year 36 volunteered to pick their brains and discuss over the possible future of technology evolution. There are several ways to gauge evolution, and there are several starting points. You might look at the adoption of a technology or at the increased performance, you may consider those that are already being adopted or those that are emerging in labs …

Each expert proposed one or more technologies that should be considered and that led to a set of 59 technologies. Some of these were closely related and through discussion, and some consensus (you can get 100% consensus, that would point to a homogenous group and that would not be good in terms of capturing diversity) those 59 proposals were shrunk to 30. By giving each “expert” the possibility to cast 16 votes on the preferred technologies the number was reduced to 19.

Each of these 19 technologies was investigated from 4 viewpoints:

expected success in 2023
potential for (positive) impact on humanity
level of maturity in 2023
level of adoption in 2023

Given the different expertise field of the team members each one was asked to grade his/her own confidence level and that was taken into account in the voting result.

For each of the 19 technologies an explanatory slide was created, to point out:

problems, demands
opportunities
impact
sustainable solutions / business opportunity

It should be noted that although the slate of technologies considered is broad, the focus was on computer science related technologies. One might expect that several of these technologies will have an impact on other technologies stemming from different fields and, likewise, the emergence of technologies from other fields may have an impact on the evolution of these technologies.

In the following posts I will provide my perspectives on some of the technologies identified but you should make up your mind by looking at the released document and, of course, you are more than welcome to share your thoughts by commenting my posts. In this way you are becoming part of the larger team that will be needed to make these prediction a reality.

Actually, the aim of the work is not to get excited on what might happen, rather to understand what are the possibilities and to work to create the future we expect.

Stay tuned!