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Communications is a machine business…

The number of devices connected to Internet is expected to grow at a 10% CAGR in the 2018-2023 period leading to some 30 billion connected devices in 2023, that’s 3 times as much as people. Image credit: Cisco

According to the recently released Annual Internet Forecast by Cisco there  will be close to 30 billion devices connected to the internet, versus some 5 billion people, that makes 6 times more devices than people. Some of these devices, like tablets, phones… will be gateways for people, so one may argue that they should not really count as “machines”, but 50% of the devices will be IoT of different sorts and these are indeed machines. Hence the estimate that there will be 3 times more machines than humans connected to the Internet. Or, if you want, internet will be serving machines rather than people …

As it could be expected the growth is expected in all types of devices but the highest increase is expected on IoT and in general machine communications. The second growth is foreseen by smartphone (27% CAGR but this is now levelling out as their are starting to saturate the market) whilst tablet and PCs are expected to grow at a single digit (4 and 7% respectively).

Smart televisions, on the other hand, are expected to replace existing televisions over this time frame leading to a CAGR of 13%.

Also interesting the forecast that close to 50% of connected devices will be using wireless connectivity.

About Roberto Saracco

Roberto Saracco fell in love with technology and its implications long time ago. His background is in math and computer science. Until April 2017 he led the EIT Digital Italian Node and then was head of the Industrial Doctoral School of EIT Digital up to September 2018. Previously, up to December 2011 he was the Director of the Telecom Italia Future Centre in Venice, looking at the interplay of technology evolution, economics and society. At the turn of the century he led a World Bank-Infodev project to stimulate entrepreneurship in Latin America. He is a senior member of IEEE where he leads the Industry Advisory Board within the Future Directions Committee and co-chairs the Digital Reality Initiative. He teaches a Master course on Technology Forecasting and Market impact at the University of Trento. He has published over 100 papers in journals and magazines and 14 books.